Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020749 0.022418 0.024157 0.026107 0.028232 0.030481 0.033043
2025-10-12 0.018090 0.020496 0.023139 0.026263 0.029861 0.033886 0.038739
2025-10-19 0.016288 0.019116 0.022345 0.026317 0.031087 0.036653 0.043669
2025-10-26 0.014913 0.018006 0.021650 0.026279 0.032032 0.038984 0.048076
2025-11-02 0.013826 0.017102 0.021065 0.026243 0.032871 0.041128 0.052280
2025-11-09 0.012735 0.016084 0.020232 0.025784 0.033078 0.042411 0.055383
2025-11-16 0.011800 0.015184 0.019463 0.025319 0.033194 0.043520 0.058252
2025-11-23 0.011135 0.014580 0.019022 0.025227 0.033757 0.045204 0.061946
2025-11-30 0.010505 0.013976 0.018533 0.025019 0.034122 0.046602 0.065285
2025-12-07 0.009967 0.013460 0.018123 0.024880 0.034548 0.048076 0.068781
2025-12-14 0.009456 0.012949 0.017686 0.024665 0.034835 0.049341 0.072016
2025-12-21 0.009078 0.012600 0.017450 0.024712 0.035484 0.051141 0.076126
2025-12-28 0.008650 0.012175 0.017105 0.024613 0.035956 0.052774 0.080198
2026-01-04 0.008320 0.011874 0.016924 0.024746 0.036786 0.054996 0.085353
2026-01-11 0.007992 0.011558 0.016699 0.024795 0.037479 0.057033 0.090333
2026-01-18 0.007667 0.011227 0.016434 0.024758 0.038026 0.058857 0.095065
2026-01-25 0.007367 0.010918 0.016183 0.024725 0.038564 0.060682 0.099897
2026-02-01 0.006990 0.010473 0.015699 0.024295 0.038432 0.061395 0.102861
2026-02-08 0.006639 0.010050 0.015230 0.023860 0.038258 0.062017 0.105684
2026-02-15 0.006393 0.009780 0.014985 0.023773 0.038653 0.063605 0.110308
2026-02-22 0.006138 0.009485 0.014687 0.023579 0.038850 0.064853 0.114384
2026-03-01 0.005914 0.009227 0.014435 0.023449 0.039142 0.066275 0.118859
2026-03-08 0.005688 0.008957 0.014152 0.023248 0.039297 0.067452 0.122937